Question

What causes ice ages?

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Answer

A combination of orbital variations setting the rhythm and feedbacks within the climate system amplifying them — with the underlying precondition being a continental arrangement that permits ice sheets to form at all.

The terminology first. We are currently in an ice age — defined as a period with permanent ice sheets, which Greenland and Antarctica provide. Within an ice age, glacial periods are colder intervals with expanded ice, and interglacials are warmer ones. We are in an interglacial, the Holocene.

The pacemaker: Milankovitch cycles. Variations in Earth's orbit and orientation change how sunlight is distributed by latitude and season:

Eccentricity — how elliptical the orbit is, varying on roughly 100,000-year cycles.

Obliquity — the tilt of the axis, varying between about 22.1 and 24.5 degrees over roughly 41,000 years. Greater tilt means stronger seasons.

Precession — the wobble of the axis, on roughly 19,000 to 23,000-year cycles, determining which season occurs at closest approach to the Sun.

Why summer matters more than winter. The critical factor is whether northern hemisphere summers are cool enough for winter snow to survive. Ice sheets grow not because winters are snowier but because summers fail to melt what fell — which is why the northern hemisphere, with its large landmasses at high latitude, controls the rhythm.

Why orbital changes alone are insufficient. The change in total solar energy is small — far too small to produce the observed temperature swings. Feedbacks amplify it:

Ice-albedo feedback. Ice reflects sunlight; more ice means more reflection, more cooling, more ice.

Carbon dioxide. Ice core records show CO₂ falling during glacials and rising during interglacials, amplifying the orbital signal substantially. The ocean's capacity to hold carbon changes with temperature and circulation.

Dust, vegetation and ocean circulation changes.

The longer-term precondition: continental positions allowing polar ice, ocean gateways opening and closing, and long-term decline in atmospheric CO₂ through weathering of uplifted mountains.

The 100,000-year problem — why glacial cycles follow the weakest orbital cycle — remains incompletely resolved.

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